Thursday, September 16, 2010



10 alarming signs which warmongers may declare war on Iran:

We decide to analyze 10 signs which could lead to start another war in Middle East. US army as most invincible armed forces, according to its inventory of conventional and unconventional weapons , military bases all around the world ,allies , war experiences ,economical and industrial capabilities  and above all being far away from battle fields  is a major threat to its enemies.
For almost three decades of establishment of Islamic republic in Iran and collapse of imperial regime which was a key ally to west , we are seeing harsh rhetoric from both US and Islamic republic , but there are obstacles which have been preventing war so far ,and if those remove ,war will be began soon.

  1. US government fails to recover recession: experiences like WWII proved that war is a huge gift for US economy to flourish, recently some news were announced that Saudi Arabia is willing to buy more than 60 billion armaments and military equipments which experts estimate that will create seventy thousand jobs across US states.
  2. Continuity of Islamic republic's defiance against west: president Obama is under pressure for his campaign promises like solving Iran's nuclear problem by public opinion, republicans, tea party and particularly Israel.
  3. lack of success in Iraq ,Afghanistan ,Lebanon ,and Palestinian-Israeli peace negotiations : Iran as most influential country in middle east has key role in stabilizing and also destabilizing of  the region and if it continues to its independent and defiant policy ,us politicians may will be forced to choose military action.
  4. US and NATO troops exiting from Iraq, Afghanistan and navy from Persian gulf: Iran is manufacturing and acquiring lots of missile systems and weapons that announced it will use them in response to any military aggression .each military withdraw is complete sign of not only mission accomplishing but preventing mass casualties by US army in Iran's neighboring countries which may will be caused by Iranian army.
  5. Completing of missile defense system in Persian Gulf countries: for any military action against Iran  and to obtain permission to use Arabian countries soils for its troops, US must assure those countries, safety by equipping them with sophisticated defense systems. 
  6.  Next US congressional and presidential elections : democrats and specially president Obama need to fulfill their voters demand (which is terminating Iran's so called  nuclear threat) , and destroying Iran's nuclear facilities may meet US hardliners and Israelis demands .
  7. Sanctions fail to weaken and punish Iran: and that would be a decisive sign of possible US attack or unilateral attack by Israel.
  8. Accidental events and excuses or sudden proofs: (fake) proofs, like what was shown to us by Colin Powell about Iraq's mass destruction weapons or accidental events like assassination of the archduke (of Austria) which leaded to WWI.
  9. Continuity of contradictions in Iran: Iranian proved if their country will be attacked by foreign countries they will forget all about their problems and disagreements, they will unify against aggressor (like 8 year Iraq-Iran war) and Iranian government knows it well, and there are probabilities that if government wont be able to repress the oppositions it may misleads opinions and exploit any war to crush oppositions. 
  10. Iran procurement of nuclear arsenal: which was unlikely so far.

 As mentioned, with all signs above there are a lot of difficulties and obstacles within US or Israeli determination for attacking Iran which maintain unstable peace between US and Islamic republic so far  ,in the next post we will look over those obstacles and find how to avoid new war.
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