First Iran, now Tunisia, who's next
Experiences like what we had been seeing in countries like Iran totally changed basics of revolutions, in term of goals, ideals and reasons, before 1979 in cold war era communism was dominant discourse among intellectuals of third world countries, who were looking for prosperity into Marx's Communist Manifesto -Lenin papers, Stalin regime proved them wrong and Gorbachev totally disappoint them by dissolving the party.
Islamic revolution was kind of phenomenon that changed the world, it was for the first time that both religion and secularism teamed up to overthrow a technocrat-imperial regime, despite communism which always was denouncing religion, or economic imperialism which is emphasizing the seriousness of the money. 1979' revolutionaries used religion to make money and support for themselves. Since then the definition was changed, violent coups were replaced by Velvet Revolutions and instead of superficial instigations, subliminal ones, bring demonstrator to streets.
Milton Friedman once said in a lecture at Universidad Católica de Chile: "free markets would undermine political centralization and political control." And again developments in countries like Tunisia Iran proved him right.
The shah of Iran was putting a lot of pressure on government to expedite its modernization plans according to west specially USA's economical approach, but he underestimate people's respond to quick changes on structure of society ,first steps to complete industrialization needs more time spend at work less time in home, more joint cooperation between individuals and companies, and relinquishing of traditional beliefs and lifestyle, it was more disturbing when it came to cultural manners specially when politicians mistakenly see modernization through abandoning tradition and beliefs.
The thing is in the shah era except from last year people have acceptable income and general welfare but absolutism, lack of tolerance toward criticism and rapid cultural conversions without preparation, concurrent with strange rule models which were publicized by government against dominant old tradition (like women roles in society) increased gap between people and government, and shivered national integrity.
Existence of a proficient political cleric who took advantage of peoples dissatisfaction, leaded to bloody clashes and paralyzing nationwide strikes
Islamic republic stems from those subjective feelings and disdain paranoia toward western governments because of years of plunder perpetrated by them.
Religious incentives metastasized to civil disobedience and finally autocrat was coerced to flee by Iranians.
Similarity between Iran and Tunisia's revolution is not only in minority's unlimited authority but is in unbalanced economic growth with freedom suppression simultaneously.
The main reasons of modern countries development are corresponding of freedom and economic growth, when a totalitarian government attempt to achieve high level of progression and at the same time wants to keep its monopoly instead of reliance on people's vote , it is possible to conquer and defeat rivals but more it cracks opposition down, it get more fragile inside.
Bin Ali president of Tunisia and the shah of Iran both had the same interest in modernizing of their countries and for example according to
CIA fact book Tunisia's GDP index Was four times more than early 1980 in 2009 when bin Ali took power but lack of real democratization overwhelmed his plans and lead to chaos.
Unlike experts who are saying the reason of Tunisia's sudden upside down is stress of poverty, census implicating on something else, something more serious, and it is a kind of disrespect to call brave Tunisian demonstrations, hunger demonstrations.
Most of Middle East countries specially Arabs have the same plans and procedure like what Tunisia had and their leaders are frighten of what happened to bin Ali, that's why Kuwait government announced it will distribute 4 billions of dollars among approximately 1.5 million Kuwaitis, but countries with less rich revenue, discontent history, and powerful oppositions like Egypt government has to be more careful not to be the next one against excited awakened residents who are exhausted of being patience toward tyranny and injustice.
